Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.205229 0.237397 0.272919 0.315051 0.363664 0.418003 0.483369
2025-10-12 0.157426 0.201427 0.255032 0.325138 0.414441 0.524463 0.670448
2025-10-19 0.131227 0.180083 0.243798 0.332971 0.454626 0.614954 0.842645
2025-10-26 0.111905 0.162605 0.232509 0.335912 0.485102 0.692823 1.004637
2025-11-02 0.095580 0.145947 0.218824 0.331926 0.503220 0.753346 1.147289
2025-11-09 0.081099 0.129466 0.202536 0.320923 0.508182 0.793522 1.262674
2025-11-16 0.073546 0.122267 0.198830 0.327837 0.540137 0.876439 1.451483
2025-11-23 0.066248 0.114353 0.192757 0.329760 0.563643 0.947695 1.628666
2025-11-30 0.060692 0.108510 0.189152 0.334935 0.592488 1.029853 1.832107
2025-12-07 0.053979 0.099768 0.179518 0.328396 0.600073 1.076290 1.978249
2025-12-14 0.048596 0.092697 0.171891 0.324306 0.611118 1.129214 2.140767
2025-12-21 0.044912 0.088283 0.168468 0.327337 0.635168 1.207386 2.357405
2025-12-28 0.043221 0.087543 0.171901 0.343949 0.687184 1.343682 2.701688
2026-01-04 0.040948 0.085400 0.172435 0.355030 0.729819 1.466892 3.035060
2026-01-11 0.038613 0.082829 0.171794 0.363580 0.768158 1.585391 3.371776
2026-01-18 0.035970 0.079286 0.168765 0.366791 0.795717 1.684802 3.679670
2026-01-25 0.032902 0.074460 0.162523 0.362439 0.806687 1.750855 3.923581
2026-02-01 0.029513 0.068521 0.153256 0.350428 0.799607 1.777724 4.084540
2026-02-08 0.028042 0.066736 0.152822 0.357975 0.836689 1.903838 4.481007
2026-02-15 0.026286 0.064081 0.150147 0.360075 0.861508 2.005092 4.831314
2026-02-22 0.024931 0.062216 0.149061 0.365725 0.895119 2.129502 5.249232
2026-03-01 0.022858 0.058365 0.142920 0.358585 0.897378 2.181207 5.497865
2026-03-08 0.021143 0.055206 0.138095 0.354121 0.905638 2.247870 5.790401